Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.855174e-03 0.002043 0.002233 0.002437 0.002651 0.002867 0.003102
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.577175e-03 0.001872 0.002179 0.002521 0.002889 0.003271 0.003698
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.364877e-03 0.001748 0.002163 0.002638 0.003164 0.003722 0.004355
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.055565e-03 0.001488 0.001977 0.002556 0.003214 0.003929 0.004756
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.233828e-04 0.001290 0.001841 0.002517 0.003304 0.004177 0.005203
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.624268e-04 0.001157 0.001768 0.002540 0.003460 0.004497 0.005732
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.203951e-04 0.001028 0.001687 0.002545 0.003589 0.004784 0.006225
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.228470e-04 0.000945 0.001652 0.002600 0.003774 0.005136 0.006793
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.386310e-04 0.000866 0.001616 0.002647 0.003946 0.005470 0.007341
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.622125e-04 0.000785 0.001567 0.002672 0.004088 0.005767 0.007845
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.792919e-04 0.000672 0.001463 0.002616 0.004123 0.005933 0.008194
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.228436e-04 0.000590 0.001393 0.002599 0.004204 0.006151 0.008602
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.755093e-05 0.000519 0.001342 0.002618 0.004346 0.006466 0.009154
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.106488e-05 0.000480 0.001338 0.002706 0.004582 0.006903 0.009862
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.384970e-05 0.000456 0.001358 0.002828 0.004867 0.007406 0.010657
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.019862e-06 0.000359 0.001240 0.002743 0.004875 0.007566 0.011040
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.681644e-07 0.000290 0.001157 0.002702 0.004940 0.007794 0.011508
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000247 0.001118 0.002727 0.005091 0.008132 0.012110
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000204 0.001070 0.002731 0.005213 0.008433 0.012667
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000179 0.001056 0.002789 0.005407 0.008826 0.013339
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000155 0.001038 0.002837 0.005589 0.009202 0.013991
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000129 0.001008 0.002863 0.005736 0.009535 0.014588
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000092 0.000932 0.002805 0.005761 0.009704 0.014980